The Afghan Political Landscape

By  Professor M. Hassan Kakar

Formerly professor of history at Kabul University and the author of:
Afghanistan, The Soviet Invasion and the Afghan Response,
The University of California Press, 1995

This article is not for citation.


During the Symposium "A Prospective Review of the History and Archaeology of Afghanistan, From Glory to Plunder" held on October 15 and 16, 1999, at Pacific Asia Museum, Pasadena, CA, Dr. Kakar delivered his talk: The Afghan Political Landscape.

In this paper Dr. Kakar discusses the Afghan conflict in a historic context, paying special attention to how the struggle of Afghans to free themselves, and as it turned out the world, from the red menace, has continued to exact a heavy toll on the Afghan nation.

He discusses the emergence of the Taliban, their policies and zeroes in on the proposed Loya Jirga (Grand National Assembly) process, its prospects and viability in the current political-military atmosphere. He points out  the lack of precedence for a Loya Jirga, which would be held without the participation of a dominating group in the country.  He emphasizes in particular that previous Loya Jirgas throughout Afghan history were held and organized by the dominant ruling party in the country, which made the decisions of the Jirga implementeable.


The Afghan successful repulse of the Soviet aggression became a Pyrrhic victory of the late twentieth century. It was, however not in the sense that history repeats itself exactly, as is commonly held. Of course the essential motor force of history is always man, but every time he makes history he makes it under vastly different conditions. Even the man of the third century BC when Pyrrhus, king of Epirus in Greece, invaded Italy but at a too great cost, was not like the man of to-day in his outlook except for his basic drives, to say nothing of the tools with which he makes history. That is why the consequences of Afghan victory , more that King Pyrrhus's victory, brought about such dire consequences that shook even the foundation of the land for which the Afghans fought. Of all the consequences the one with international significance proved the most troublesome. It still is. 

When the Afghans began to fight back the aggressive army of the "Soviet evil empire" nearly the whole non-Soviet world lauded them with the lofty words their men of mass media, political, public, and spiritual leaders could find. Even the top person of the first super power who at the same time was the top leader of the Western world did not hesitate to define the Afghans as "freedom fighters." Most media men in the Western world just like those in the Islamic world printed the stories of Afghan gallantry in the front pages of their papers, and called the attention of their readers that there in the heart of Asia was a little known people who undauntedly stood steadfast in defence of their fatherland against the aggressive army of the Soviet super power. Scores of academics, journalists, human right activists, and even some elected public figures endangered their lives by making secret trips to the forbidden war zones deep inside Afghanistan to see whether the "freedom fighters" deserved the praises with which they were being lauded. Sceptics were few, and lauders numerous. The recommendations of these people in part convinced the decision making bodies of their respective countries that if ever there was a nation around the "evil empire" who deserved assistance in curbing its expansionistic designs it was the nation of these "freedom fighters".

The words were matched with deeds. Indeed a variety of lethal weapons along with logistical materials, medicine, and funds were generously made available to the freedom fighters, the weapons for which they, known for their marksmanship, were eagerly waiting. Even the newly tested ground to air missiles, known as Stinger, were handed over to them. They were the first to receive such a weapon which made the Afghan sky unsafe for their air power. Until then the Soviets had its safe monopoly. The weapons along with psychological and diplomatic support of the peoples and governments of the non-Soviet world further strengthened the resolve of the freedom fighters in defending their values against the intruders. The intruders were forced to retreat, a retreat which in effect was their defeat and their failure to dominate the land of the freedom fighters militarily. No other country around the evil empire which it had invaded had scored such a victory. That was not alone. Shortly afterward the "evil empire" itself disintegrated and out of its ashes emerged more than a dozen independent states. The bipolarised world became history, the Cold War was gone, the Berlin Wall crumbled, and the United States emerged as the sole super power of the time with a strong economy in decades.

All the above happened after the Western world and the Islamic world helped the Afghan freedom fighters to hit more effectively the Soviet aggressors in the atmosphere of the Cold War in which the Western world had been engaged in devising military and other kinds of schemes that required the expenditure of thousands of billions of dollars. But then something odd happened. When the "evil empire" disappeared, the Western world all of a sudden turned its back on the Afghans. This it did at a time when Afghanistan had been devastated by the war. In this grand destruction the weapons of the Western world had also played a part. Every body thought that if there ever was a country that was entitled to assistance in its reconstruction efforts it was the land of the freedom fighters. Every body expected that the Western world and the United states in particular owed the Afghans a moral responsibility in helping them reconstruct their ruined country, or at least to try to keep others from interfering in its internal affairs. Instead they left them to the mercy of their ill-intentioned neighbors. These neighbors who should have been permanently grateful to the Afghans for securing them from the ever present menace of the evil empire acted as if they were the new Soviets. History played its most cruel trick on the Afghans.

The "new Soviets" or the ill-intentioned neighbors thought that the new Afghans who had been intoxicated by their victory over the army of the Soviet super power and experienced in the use of a wide range of sophisticated weapons might pose a danger to them. They had become concerned about the weapons which the Afghans had come to possess in abundance. Since nearly all had in the past grudges against the Afghans for various reasons they thought that the time had now come to dominate Afghanistan. Whatever the specific designs of each one of them they were united in pursuing one particular goal which was that Afghanistan should not have a strong national government with a strong army. Some even trotted on the road that was intended to lead to more than one Afghanistan. In pursuing such a policy they were in fact going on the footsteps of the former Soviet Union. They then designed means and ways intended to embroil the Islamic Tanzimat (Islamic Organizations) among themselves in fighting to weaken themselves and their country. These were the issues with various offshoots which the Afghans face to the present day. Let me pursue the main issues with some detail.

The scheme of more than one Afghanistan

The notion of more than one Afghanistan has its origin in the second British war with Afghanistan when first the British Government of India and subsequently the Imperial government of Russia had entertained. Lord Lytton, the British viceroy of India, had actually turned the notion into a policy when the British troops had occupied Afghanistan. But the Afghans frustrated him in his design. ( my new manuscript) At the same time, the secretary to the Russian governor-general in Tashkand encouraged the then fugitive Sardar Abd al-Rahman Khan in Tashkand to set up a new state in northern Afghanistan with Russian assistance. But when the sardar returned to Afghanistan he disappointed the Russians. (1) Both super powers of the time acted with a view to making the Hindu Kush the boundary of their empires, which meant the partition of Afghanistan. The British government of India later imposed the Durand Agreement on Ameer Abd al-Rahman Khan that eventually separated original Afghanistan from present day Afghanistan. (2). This proved to be such a serious event that in time it indirectly led to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. The British however until their departure from India assisted Afghan rulers in consolidating their kingdom or what had remained of it. This was, however not the same with the Russians, who especially in the Soviet era even pressured Afghan governments to suppress any one or any group of people north of the Hindu Kush who, they thought, were anti-Russians. (3) To please the Soviets the Afghan governments suppressed many, until on the same issue an encounter took place between Leonid Brezhnev and President Mohammad Da'ud in the Kremlin on 12 April 1977. In the words of an observer, "Brezhnev complained that the number of experts from NATO countries working in Afghanistan in bilateral ventures, as well as in the UN and other multilateral aid projects, had considerably increased. In the past, he said, the Afghan government at least did not allow experts from NATO countries to be stationed in northern parts of the country, but this practice was no longer strictly followed. The Soviet Union, he continued, took a grim view of these developments and wanted the Afghan government to get rid of those experts, who were nothing more than spies bent on promoting the cause of imperialism." In response President Da'ud became as surprising to the Russians as they had become to the Afghans. After his initial diplomatic words, President Da'ud addressed Leonid Brezhnev in these words:. "... we will never allow you to dictate to us how to run our country and whom to employ in Afghanistan. How and where we employ the foreign experts will remain the exclusive prerogative of the Afghan state. Afghanistan shall remain poor, if necessary, but free in its acts and decisions." (4)

The Brezhnev-led Soviets proved that they were dead serious in what they had said to President Da'ud after they invaded Afghanistan in 1979. But the tough resistance the Afghans offered convinced them that they can not pacify Afghanistan as they had hoped they would in a matter of months just as they had pacified Bukhara early in the century and some East European countries following World War Two. They then took such measures with respect to northern Afghanistan that were apparently intended to eventually separate it from the rest of the country. In other words they made efforts to realize their old dream, that is, to make northern Afghanistan an appanage of their empire. In this way, they intended to secure a natural boundary for their empire as Lord Lytton had tried to secure the same boundary for the British empire a century earlier. For this purpose, the measures which the Soviets through their client Purchami regime took after 1982 were novel. These included the quartering in Mazar of a sub-government composed of deputy ministers headed by deputy premier, the authorization of provincial governors north of the Hindu Kush to exchange missions directly, that is, without reference to Kabul with the Soviet Central Asian republics, the extension of electric power from across the Oxus River to some of these provinces, the construction over the Oxus River of a new bridge, the "Friendship Bridge" (pul-e-dosti), the almost free travel of officials from both sides to northern Afghanistan and the Soviet Union, and no comparable severe military operations in northern Afghanistan on the part of the Soviet army. As a supplementary to these measures the client regime embarked on the policy of nationalities according to which the Afghan nationalities, that is, ethnic groups, were declared brothers and equal to each other. This policy was, in fact, intended to encourage the non-Pashtun ethnic groups in northern Afghanistan to unite against the Pashtuns who, by virtue of being in the majority and the producer of the ruling dynasties ever since 1747, were the most militant against the usurpers of the national sovereignty. To give teeth to the policy the client regime permitted certain minority ethnic groups to organize militias with its funds and weapons. The regime used some such militias as storm troopers. The most known of these were the Uzbek militias of the province of Jouzjan in northern Afghanistan headed by Abd al Rasheed Dostum, who, by 1992, was said to have 60, 000 armed men under his command. (5)

Had the Soviet Union not been dissolved on December 25, 1991 the Afghans would have found it more difficult to reunite their land. The break-up of the Soviet Union did not mean that the policy of fragmentation was given up. Federal Russia and following her the government of Iran and to some extent also the new republic of Uzbekistan followed the policy through their surrogates, especially Dostum and the Islamic Unity Party headed by Mazari, a pro-Khumeini party. The Russian agents attached to its consulate in Mazar became so active that they worked for the success of Dostum to the detriment of the government in Kabul led by President Najib Allah, even though the latter had been the most loyal man of the Kremlin throughout the occupation period.( 6 ) On March 21, 1992 heads of five minority groups claiming to represent the ethnic groups to which they belonged in collusion with some military and civilian personnel of the pro-Karmal faction of the former People's Democratic Party of Afghanistan set up what was called the Northern Coalition in Mazar. Azad Khan Uzbek and an official of the intelligence service of Iran also attended the meeting. The purpose was to topple the government of President Najib Allah and terminate the traditional Pashtun rule in Afghanistan. This was the first time that encouraged by agents of foreign governments some men from minority ethnic groups made an anti-Pashtun coalition. The blind forces of hatred were collectively given a vent. In Mazar Dostum, now calling himself the head of the Islamic and National Movement made himself pasha by a successful coup. He had now under him a strong militia with light and heavy weapons of all kinds, including some air power and the Scud missiles. All the provinces from Badakhshan to Herat in northern Afghanistan that were severed from Kabul fell into the hands of Dostum, Commander Ahmad Shah Mas'ud., and Commander Mohammad Isma'il Khan ( 7) Afghanistan was in fact but not in name fragmented. On April 14, the coalition led by Commander Ahmad Shah Masud and Dostum made a successful coup against President Najib Allah, who took asylum in the headquarters of the United Nations in Kabul. No one however dared to set up a government. The setting up of a new government was considered to be the prerogative of the Islamic Tanzimat who had waged a relentless opposition throughout the occupation period against the Soviet invaders. There on April 24, 1992 in the presence of nearly all the heads of the Tanzimat and the premier of Pakistan, the heads of the intelligence services of Saudi Arabia and Pakistan and the ambassadors of Iran a formula was designed which made the heads of two non-Pashtun Tanzimat to lead the new interim government in Kabul.(8)

The Peshawar Accord had a common ground with the Northern Coalition. In both persons from minority ethnic groups were raised to high power. In both the Pashtun majority was excluded from holding high power. In both agents of the ill-intentioned neighbors including Russia worked for the promotion of their Afghan surrogates. In both nationalistic and other groups were excluded. In both the concept of ethnic collectivism was stressed at the expense of individual qualification. Finally and most important, both were designed to do away with the existing standing army which could have been manipulated and used as a bulwark against the instability which usually crops up during the uncertain period of transition. The outcome became an unimaginable disaster that the Afghans experienced during the period of the even the so-called government in parts of Kabul. The armed groups of freebooters and thugs of various stripes also became active. Such things became the order of the day not only in the city of Kabul where a government led by President Burhan al-Deen existed by name but also throughout the country that was fragmented and mastered by self-interested autonomous governors and commanders. All this happened in the period of running inflation where in Kabul fathers would present their children to markets for others to take and feed and keep. The city of Kabul which had become as a result of years of modernization schemes the center of a flourishing and cosmopolitan civilization was almost all destroyed. It still is in ruin. Approximately 60,000 of its residents were killed in the fighting. Over one and a half millions of its residents were forced to flee to the countryside or Pakistan. Any person throughout the land who could not protect himself, his family or property was exposed to danger. Afghanistan had become an inferno more in this period than even in the occupation period until the Taliban ended the reign of terror.

It was impossible for the Taliban to accomplish what they have accomplished without the prevalence of the situation as described. It was unthinkable for the Taliban to score spectacular victories over the seasoned fighters of the Tanzimat and the ethnic militias without the active support of the local population. It was also impossible for the Taliban to rise without having strong convictions against tyranny (zulm). In no other period of Afghan history that I know of religious functionaries have become the ruling power. Perhaps at no other period such a situation had prevailed in Afghanistan .

The event that led directly to the rise of the Taliban shows this in part. Mulla Mohammad Omar of the village of Sangisar in the district of Panjwayee in Kandahar accompanied by a number of his talibs (students of Islamic learning) asked Commander Salih Mohammad to release the women he had seized from a passenger bus coming from Herat. Salih Mohammad had set up a tax post (patak) on the Kandahar-Herat highway. The mulla pleaded with him to free the women because, said he, "...seizing the women of other people was against Islam and against Pashtunwali [the Pashtun codes of behavior] and that it would provoke the Heratis to seize in revenge the women of Kandahar who might be our sisters or wives or mothers." Salih Mohammad declined the request and further threatened him with gouging his second eye. The mullah had lost one eye during the resistance. Mullah Mohammad Omar retreated, but determined to do some thing about it. The mulla collected his companions and followers and attacked Salih Mohammad in his post who was killed. The weapons of Salih Mohammad fell into his hands. Afterward he got rid of many other such local commanders either by persuasion or force or both until in November 1994 he wrested Kandahar itself from autonomous masters such as Gul Agha (Barakzay), Naqib Allah (Alkozay), Lalay (Popalzay), and Haji Ahmad (Achakzay). ( 9)

The fall of Kandahar proved a turning point. It was followed by the fall of Ghazni shortly afterward, of Herat on September 5, 1995, of Jalalabad on September 13, 1996 and of Kabul on September 27, 1996. All this meant a sweep of the Taliban over the Kabul government, over the Tanzimat and the ethnic militias south of the Hindu Kush as well as the disappearance of criminals, kidnappers, robbers, rapists, pataks and the like. It also meant general disarmament and the maintenance of security, an accomplishment of immense significance. It likewise meant momentum for the forces of reunification at the expense of centrifugal forces which the interventionistic policies of the ill-intentioned neighbors were reinforcing all this time mainly through their Afghan surrogates.

The country was still far from united. All the regions north of the Hindu Kush and a few provinces close to Kabul were still held by others. It was argued that since these regions were not populated as much by the ethnic Pashtuns as the other regions had been the Taliban, most of whom are Pashtuns would be unable to pacify them especially when the heads of the opposing groups enjoyed the active support of Iran and Russia, and that under the supervision of the Russian consul in Mazar they had made a new anti-Taliban Alliance in Khinjan on October 10,1996. It was even argued that the sweep of the religious-minded, Pashtun-dominated, and hard-line rustic Taliban would perpetuate the division of the country. Hence the increase in weapons and cash from Iran and Russia to the groups composing the new Alliance. The Alliance was, however negative in the sense that it was made only in opposition to the Taliban. Other than that their members had no common ground among them. That was why no unified military command was set up. Also, even the strongest member of it, that is, the National and Islamic Movement led by General Dostum suffered from internal cracks. Further, the sweep of the Taliban produced favorable responses among the people north of the Hindu Kush also. Conversely, the presence of the Russian consul in Khinjan made the Alliance unpopular. All Afghans were bewildered by it and most cursed those who had made it.

In May 1997 General Abd al-Malik, the second in command of the National and Islamic Movement staged a coup against General Dostum, and invited the Taliban to Mazar. The joint forces of the Taliban and Abd al-Malik forced Dostum to flee the country, and occupy Mazar. But all of a sudden the table turned against the Taliban. Instead of trying to consolidate their position in an uncertain situation some commanders ordered the Taliban to forcefully implement unpopular measures in the name of Islamic Shari'at in complete disregard to the wishes of the people. Their new ally along with their old foes joined hands against the Taliban and routed them completely. Over 5,000 of the Taliban were imprisoned along with a number of their commanders. Probably over 3,000 of these imprisoned Taliban were subsequently slaughtered. The Taliban lost Mazar as quickly as they had possessed it quickly, but another column of them that came to the north through the Salang tunnel

took the province of Kunduz in their hands. They thus got a foothold in the north. The active presence of this column frightened their foes, and they prepared the way for the return of General Dostum, who once again took command. General Malik fled to Iran. But Dostum was no longer the strong man that he had been even in Mazar which was divided between various groups. Mazar was declared the headquarters of the deposed regime of Rabbani whom the government of Iran still recognized. Through its consul in Mazar Iran provided military experts especially to the pro-Iranian Islamic Unity Party led then by Karim Khalili. This party became more active than ever because of the weapons, money and encouragement it received from Iran on an increasingly big scale. In fact, Iran's strategy at this stage was to deliver weapons by air to any group that opposed the Taliban. Its transport planes carrying weapons were landed twice or three times a week in the airfields of Shiberghan, Bamian and Bagram. 'Alaw al-Deen Brojurdi, the man Iran had put in charge of Afghan affairs made open trips regularly to Bamian and northern Afghanistan. Iran was determined to build a strong block against the Taliban as it worked to prevent another sweep of the Taliban to the north.

Nevertheless the second sweep of the Taliban began from the province of Badghis north-east of Herat in July 1998. This time they were alone in their sweep, and respected the wishes of the local population, even addressing their rallies , telling them that they had come to deliver them from the clutches of the mercenaries and atheists. They first occupied the province of Faryab, with its capital of Maimana, the home town of General Malik, and soon afterward the province of Jouzjan with its capital of Shiberghan the home town of General Dostum. The general repeatedly resisted the Taliban, but could not turn the tide, and then he fled once again. The Taliban were in Shiberghan when their supporters in the province of Balkh with its capital at Mazar invited them to their province. The people of Hazhdah Nahr around the ancient city of Balkh even urged them to come. The Taliban even though were unprepared for the undertaking accepted the call. Mazar came under fire by columns of the Taliban from Kunduz, and Shiberghan in conjunction with local supporters especially from the Balkh area. By this time even though Mazar had received some reinforcement all groups of the Northern Alliance had deserted the city, and only the pro-Iranian Islamic Unity Party had taken positions to defend it. But against the determined and united front of the Taliban and the local population Mazar could not be defended. The Taliban and their allies took the city by storm in a matter of hours on Saturday August 8, 1998. The losses in men for the Unity Party was immense, particularly of those fleeing the scene. The occupation of Mazar followed by the rapid advance of the Taliban in adjacent provinces until on 13 September 1998 they also occupied Bamian, the capital of Hazarajat, the stronghold of the pro-Iranian Islamic Unity Party. Thus Mazar after 6 years and the Hazarajat after 18 years of separation were reincorporated in Afghanistan and the reunification of the land was now almost complete.

Considering the amount of weapons they had accumulated and the backing of Iran and Russia that they enjoyed the groups composing the Northern Alliance were unlikely to accept a central government in Kabul whether headed by the Taliban or others. Together they had a total of more than 170 tanks, more than 900 military vehicles, more than 50 motorized personnel carriers, more than a few helicopters and war air planes, more than 180 Scud and Luna rockets, and an unspecified quantity of other light and heavy weapons. The actual amount of weapons may be higher.

The most important accomplishment of the Taliban is the fact that after twenty years of the Soviet invasion and the civil war during which time the country had been in a state of fragmentation they have brought it to the brink of reunification. They have accomplished this at a time when the difficulties confronting them were far more formidable than at any time since the Second Anglo-Afghan War. In fact, the internal difficulties were even sharper now than at any time since Ahmad Shah Durranay had founded Afghanistan: in the present civil war the internal powers had so much weapons in their hands which no other groups or persons had in any other period of civil war; in the present period there had sprung so many rival political and military centers of power based on ethnicity and region which did not exist in any other period of civil war; to the extent that in the present period power seekers had gone so much under the influence of foreign powers others in no other period had gone; and finally to the extent that the ill-intentioned neighbors had designed schemes on Afghanistan and had prolonged the state of war through their Afghan surrogates in no other period others have done so. What the Taliban and their elders have accomplished no other groups of Afghans could accomplish. They have accomplished all this at a time when the Afghans as a nation had become powerless and disappointed, and the ill-intentioned neighbors bent upon hurting them and the integrity of their country. Afghanistan in fact had faced a most severe crisis of its integrity. Therefore the accomplishments of the Taliban and of their commanders are equal to all those which the Afghans have accomplished after Ahmad Shah Durranay had founded Afghanistan. In short with dauntless spirit and huge sacrifices they have secured Afghanistan for its own people in face of insurmountable odds.

A National Government for Afghanistan.

Afghan Make or Foreign Make?

Since the Soviet invasion Afghanistan had in fact no national government. During the period of the Tanzimat the Afghans came closer to have one, but whatever it was it was not a national government. The state that was called the Islamic State of Afghanistan became ineffective. It became ineffective because that was the outcome of the Peshawar Accord which was devised essentially by foreign powers. Hence the chaos and anarchy which the Afghans face to this day. The lesson should be that if the purpose is a viable political set up for Afghans it should be devised by their own chosen or selected representatives. In the present situation this seems more of an ideal than a realizable goal for in the present war situation groups of Afghans prefer to grab the state power. But even now if a group or groups of people possess state power they can remain in power only if they make it representative or fairly so by sharing power with persons drawn from all levels until such a time when a loya jirga or a grand council is convened or the ground for general elections is prepared. In other words they must not only not monopolize state power, but should also satisfy the people by providing them security of life and security of property as well as respecting their legitimate rights, their legitimate wishes and attend to their legitimate needs even if there is still no new constitution and no lawful national government. Unfortunately this has not been the case so far.

Whatever form of government that has come to be set up by the Afghans or a group or groups of them since the April coup of 1978 has been monopolistic. For whatever reason no Afghan active on the national scene has come out with the vision, agenda and actions commensurate of a national leader. At times efforts were made toward the formation of a pluralistic form of government but such efforts have all but failed. They have failed principally because of the war situation, the monopolistic designs of the committed and radical Afghans and the schemes of the ill-intentioned neighbors as already described. After the Soviet withdrawal the General-Secretary of the United Nations showed interest in assisting the Afghans to set up a broad-based government, but all his efforts through his special envoys have failed. The formula is still on the table, and is pursued by his present special envoy, Lakhdar Brahimi. But the formula specially in the present situation suffers from limitations and so it is unlikely that will come to fruition for the following reasons:

1- The formula of the broad-based government is not relevant in the present situation. Originally it was put forward by Diego Cordovez after the Geneva Accords were signed in April 1988. At the time it was expected that following the withdrawal of the Soviet troops all the sides involved in Afghan politics would agree to, and work for, the formation of a broad-based government until the time for general election has arrived. It was hoped that the political vacuum that would result the withdrawal would thus be filled in, and anarchy avoided. This did not happen, and the formula died. Nevertheless Cordovez's successors pursued it; they also failed. The General-Secretary did not address the issue of why his envoys failed in their missions. Now he seems to take some drastic measures about it. But now there is no longer a political void in Afghanistan. There is now an Islamic Emirate which controls more than ninety percent of the country, and by all accounts has maintained security in its domain. It has thus got the right to represent Afghanistan in international communities and speak for it. It alone has the power and the ability to implement any program that concerns Afghanistan in its domain. For the United Nations to have any dealing with Afghanistan and its people it can not do without it. Only in cooperation with it can it try to resolve whatever issues it wants to pursue with regard to the country. If for nothing else for practical reasons it needs to recognize and deal with it. Recognition of the Islamic Emirate would also mean changes toward its moderation. In its domain already operates a free market system with least government regulations. Its leaders have shown that they are not dogmatic revolutionaries, but responsive to legitimate and sensible demands for changes.

2- The broad-based government formula has now became a means for others to pressure the Afghans to set up a political system the way they think is fit. This limits the choice of Afghans in the matter of self-determination, and thus it negates their basic right, a right which is the foundation stone of their polity, just as it is the foundation stone of all polities. Let us not forget the fact that the Afghans gave huge sacrifices in fighting the Soviet intruders principally to assert their right to self-determination.

3- The broad-based formula has now become suspect especially when some members of the six plus two, that is, Afghanistan's six neighbors plus Russia and the United states have made it a condition for the solution of the Afghan problem. The device of six plus two which is objectionable on many grounds any way, gives to each of Afghanistan's neighbors a role to play in the solution of the Afghan problem. But each has an agenda of its own about Afghanistan. In fact, the Afghan conflict and its prolongation is due mainly to their machinations particularly those of Iran's and Russia's. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan has time and again accused Russia, Iran and Uzbekistan of interfering in the affairs of Afghanistan, while the rebel groups have accused Pakistan. Hence the inability of Afghanistan's neighbors to jointly and impartially work for the solution of the Afghan problem.. Even Kofi Annan has now become suspicious of the group when he recently complained that " The unabated external involvement in the Afghan conflict leads me to raise the question of the 'six plus two' group." That was why the group was unable to adopt, as it was commissioned to adopt "... a joint strategy towards reaching a peaceful solution of the Afghan conflict." Now that Kofi Annan has become convinced that the "external involvement" in Afghan affairs has become a stumbling block, it is required of him as General-Secretary of the world body to neutralize this "external involvement." If he did so he would have basically resolved the Afghan problem.

4-Lastly, the broad-based government in the form that is demanded is impracticable. It is one thing to demand that the broad-based government should include representatives of all segments composing the Afghan society. It is quite another to demand that it should be composed of the heads of the Tanzimat and ethnic militias as the group of six plus two and others demand. The fact is that these persons have fought among themselves so much that they can not govern jointly. Actually, some have disqualified themselves to govern, because they have caused destruction on a grand scale, and the the killing of innocent people by the thousands. Some have made themselves the surrogates of the ill-intentioned neighbors. Most important, with the exception of Commander Ahmad Shah Mas'ud, who is still in Afghanistan others have been driven out of the country. Now to insist that such persons should be included in a broad-based government is asking for the impossible. In view is probably the prolongation of the Afghan conflict, not its solution.

The demand which Afghans as well as non-Afghans are entitled to make for a broad-based government should be in the sense that it be representative in accord with the social conventions of Afghans and the principles of human rights, as this should be so in all polities. In this connection in the present specific conditions of Afghanistan two suggestions are most talked about. One suggestion is the emergency loya jirga which the former King Mohammad Zahir has put forward in November 1990. According to it an emergency loya jirga is to be convened after some preparations have been made for it by all those groups and persons who carry influence and weight in society. The jirga is to set up an interim government, and the latter is to prepare in suitable time the ground for the institution of a national government on the basis of a new constitution.

The first comment to make about it is that the emergency loya jirga was proposed at a time when Afghanistan had no government, or had a Parcham-based government, but which, by all accounts, was considered unviable. Now it is not so. No loya jirga can be convened inside Afghanistan without the concurrence of the Islamic Emirate. The Emirate stands for a loya jirga or a grand council only after the whole of Afghanistan has been reunified. To its leaders the reunification is the top priority. It is yet to happen. The proponents of the emergency loya jirga may try to convene it outside Afghanistan, but they may not be able to do so. Perhaps they will be able to convene a forum of a kind, and that too only with external assistance. In such a case it will have no legitimacy, and no effectiveness. Besides, at no time in Afghan history a new government has been instituted through a loya jirga. At all times loya jirgas have been convened by already established political authorities to meet national emergencies in consultation with influential elders of society. More important, the figure upon whom the proposed emergency loya jirga hinges is the former king himself. But he is 86 years of age, out of direct touch with concrete Afghan realities for over quarter of a century, and unable to speak the language of the majority. Besides, he exists only in the memory of the old generation, and the young generation does not relate itself to him. Now to expect the former king to dynamically engage in Afghan politics as he will be required to do so, is asking too much of him. Still others work under his umbrella, hoping to replace the Islamic Emirate. Since they themselves are unable to do so they rally around him in the hope that he can become an alternative. Hence the support of the emergency loya jirga even by such groups and persons who are essentially against it. Dr. Zalmay Khalilzad is the most active among such persons who is shuttling between Rome and Washington. They all look upon His former Majesty as a golden means to terminate the Islamic Emirate and to promote themselves who, like His former Majesty had a comfortable life abroad during the national resistance period, but now want power through international diplomacy. Seemingly His former Majesty has let them do so. Thus he has now become a liability to the people of Afghanistan in contrast to the late King Aman Allah who under similar circumstances did not choose to do so, and remained an Afghan patriot to the last minute of his life. But for the reasons I have given it is unrealistic to expect a government to be instituted through the emergency loya jirga no matter how hard their proponents work for it unless their foreign patrons push them to the seat of power by a military force, an event which is unlikely to happen. Their propaganda and activity, however, may create unrealistic hope among some Afghans, polarize all Afghans still further, and even disturb the stability which the Taliban have brought at a huge cost. In such a case the centrifugal forces may find a new lease of life and the pre-Taliban anarchy may reign once again while the proponents of the emergency loya jirga especially their activists with no social base would have become helpless, hopeless and perhaps also indifferent spectators.

The other most talked about suggestion concerns the leaders of the Islamic Emirate. They are required to introduce some kind of reform even though here much depends on the situation inside the country which is still one of war and destruction, and the attitude of the international community toward Afghanistan which is combative, and partisan, not in line with international laws and norms and thus unfair, even biased, and regrettable, but which is not the subject of discussion here. The Islamic Emirate is, therefore, not expected at his stage to introduce comprehensive reforms, but it is required to take some initial feasible steps toward such a reform.

First it should open its fold in the non-military and non-security fields to other Afghans. For this purpose it should set up a supreme consultative council composed of competent, qualified, principled, influential and non-committed Afghans to suggest ways and means for improving the over all situation, in particular the financial and employment situation. A purpose of this council should be to devise ways and means to enlist the cooperation of Afghan specialists in Europe, America and elsewhere in reconstruction of the country. It should also set up local consultative councils or jirgas to assist local officials in running the country, a system which the Emirate had originally put into operation. Meanwhile, it should assure the Afghans that once the country was reunified it would convene, as it had promised to convene a nation-wide grand council or loya jirga to set up a representative broad-based government for the transitional period. Second, the Islamic Emirate should lift the unlawful restrictions it has imposed on women, beard, music and the like, and observe the internationally-accepted rights of men and women, a subject that I have described elsewhere in detail. (10) For the Islamic Emirate to do so it needs to abolish the office of the promotion of virtues and prevention of prohibitions. If that is not feasible or advisable it can and should effectively discipline its officials not to punish violators of the laws themselves, but only to present them to the courts.

With these measures the Islamic Emirate would have taken steps toward easing the pressure under which it finds itself and the people. It would also have saved itself from blame for monopolizing state power as its predecessors had been rightly blamed for it. It itself would have become a broad-based government of a kind even in the present war situation. About the human right situation it would still not satisfy its international critics whatever it does in this respect. The international community would probably go on stressing the issue as before without appreciating the concern of the people about the integrity of their fatherland as well as about their concern for national sovereignty. Unfortunately, the Afghans are among the least understood people in the world. In part this is probably due to the assumption that the issue of human right especially its moral aspect is cultural. At any rate, the British suffered from the lack of understanding of the Afghans in the nineteenth century, and the Soviets in the present. Seemingly now the international community, especially the U.S. Administration, intend to repeat a similar mistake by imposing sanctions on Afghanistan, and isolating it essentially on the issue of the latter's own creation, that is, the issue of Osama bin Laden, which can not be discussed here.

The proposed sanctions in addition to the one already imposed coupled with the isolation of Afghanistan by the non-recognition of the Islamic Emirate are bound to hurt a brave people who stood steadfast in defence of decent human values against foreign aggression for which the non-Soviet international community assisted them, but now wants to punish them in collaboration strangely with the successor of the same aggressors. But as Abd al-Hakeem Mujahid has put it the sanctions probably"... would be only in the interests of Iran and Russia, which want permanent instability in Afghanistan, while the U.S. can get nothing out of it." In short, such an action does not stand to reason, common sense especially to justice if it still has a meaning. Perhaps it does not at least in the minds of power players. At any rate to impose sanctions on the poor but brave people of Afghanistan who have already suffered immensely because of the Soviet aggression and the subsequent civil war for over twenty years is nothing but a tyranny (zulm) on a huge scale.

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Notes

1 -M. H. Kakar, Afghanistan, a Study in Internal Political Developments,1880-1896, Punjab Education Press, Lahore, Kabul, 1971, 35

2.- Kakar, A Political History and the External Relations of Afghanistan, The Reign of Ameer Abd al-Rahman Khan, unpublished manuscript, Chapter 10

3-Haroun, Da'ud Khan da KGB pa lomo ki (Da'ud Khan in the Trap of the KGB), Khybar Publication, [Germany ], [1994].

4- Abdul Samad Ghaus, The Fall of Afghanistan, An Insider's Account, Brgamon-Brassey'sInternational Defense Publishers, 1988, Washington, New York, 179

5-Bruce G. Richardson, Afghanistan, Ending the Reign of Soviet Terror, Maverick Publications, Bend, Oregon, Second Edition, 1998, 52

6-Faqir Mohammad Wadan, Dashna haye surkh dar Afganistan, siyasathaye moscow wa asarat -e-aan bar inkishaf-e-awza' dar afganistan (The Red Daggers, Moscow's Policies and their Effects on the Developments of Situations in Afghanistan) privately published, Germany, 1999, 85-93

7-Kakar, Afghanistan, The Policy of Intrigue, Myopia, and Hatred, Jirga, publication of the Afghan Movement for A Representative Government in Afghanistan, Los Angeles, Vol.1, Number 5, April 1993,10-19

8-Kakar, Afghanistan, The Soviet Invasion and the Afghan Response, 1979-1982, University of California Press, 1995, Berkeley, Los Angeles, London, 276

9- Mohammad Ibrahim Kakar, personal communication, California, September, 1999

10-Kakar, ed. Essays on the Population, History and Current Affairs of Afghanistan, Sapi Center for Pashto Research and Developments, Peshawar, in Pashto and Dari, 1999. See also, Saida Gul Gharibyar, Report of an Interview with Ameer Khan Muttaqi, in Pashto, Afghanistan Mirror ( journal), August 1999, 29-33

 

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